Muzaffarpur — Seasonal Pollution Patterns
Month-by-month air quality patterns for Muzaffarpur across 9 years of CPCB data. Based on CPCB station data, 2016–present.
Bihar · Live Muzaffarpur AQI →
At a glance
Based on 9 years of CPCB monitoring across 3 stations, Muzaffarpur averages AQI 180 annually, with a pronounced seasonal pattern classified as monsoon-cleansed. The worst month is January at AQI 314 (Very Poor) and the cleanest is July at AQI 66 (Satisfactory) — a 248-point swing between them. Severe days (AQI > 400) make up 4.5% of the record while Good-or-Satisfactory days account for 30.9%.
The four seasons
Indian meteorological seasons: Winter (Dec–Feb), Summer (Mar–May), Monsoon (Jun–Sep), Post-monsoon (Oct–Nov).
Winter
AQI 326Summer
AQI 177Monsoon
AQI 87Post-monsoon
AQI 244Climograph — monthly averages and Poor+ days
Bars show the long-run AQI average per month. The overlay line counts days in Poor, Very Poor or Severe bands.
Year × month heatmap
One cell per year-month combination.
Each cell = monthly average AQI for that year-month combination. Row averages on the right, column averages at the bottom.
| Year | Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec | Avg |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | 401 | 316 | 216 | 156 | 78 | 55 | 61 | 60 | 53 | 222 | 335 | 372 | 213 |
| 2017 | 338 | 305 | 198 | 133 | 117 | 74 | 46 | — | 96 | 215 | 321 | 367 | 215 |
| 2018 | 365 | 312 | 236 | 185 | 186 | 195 | 87 | 82 | 119 | 200 | 350 | 372 | 232 |
| 2019 | 363 | 261 | 231 | 147 | 122 | 73 | — | 90 | 97 | 221 | 333 | 328 | 223 |
| 2020 | 335 | 267 | 199 | 99 | 77 | 67 | 58 | 73 | 63 | 145 | 231 | 297 | 162 |
| 2021 | 294 | 262 | 201 | 165 | 84 | 78 | 50 | 51 | 60 | 126 | 290 | 304 | 177 |
| 2022 | 303 | 252 | 244 | 187 | 105 | 95 | 70 | 70 | 71 | 131 | 274 | 344 | 174 |
| 2023 | 342 | 268 | 189 | 200 | 177 | 148 | 82 | 92 | 82 | 120 | 221 | 226 | 177 |
| 2024 | 250 | 198 | 146 | 198 | 130 | 109 | 67 | 54 | 63 | 117 | 237 | 205 | 152 |
| Avg | 314 | 257 | 203 | 173 | 122 | 106 | 67 | 68 | 72 | 150 | 273 | 293 | — |
Winter in Muzaffarpur
Winter (Dec–Jan–Feb) in Muzaffarpur averages AQI 326 across 761 measured days — Very Poor on the NAQI scale. 68.2% of those days fall in Very Poor or Severe; 0.7% are Good or Satisfactory. Year-on-year, winter improved by 8.9% in the most recent comparison. Winter is the defining season for Muzaffarpur's air quality. Shallow temperature inversions trap local vehicle, industrial and biomass emissions near ground level, while regional transport patterns bring in dust and biomass smoke from upwind regions. Cool, stagnant mornings compound the problem; visibility falls, respiratory complaints spike, and short-term pollution peaks of AQI 400+ are routine. Sensitive groups — children, elderly, asthma and cardiac patients — should treat the full Dec–Jan–Feb window as a mandatory mask-and-purifier period.
Diwali, stubble burning and the monsoon
Three India-specific signatures that shape the seasonal curve.
Diwali week impact
The 7-day window around Diwali averages AQI 264 (Poor), versus 172 (Moderate) for the rest of October. 62 sampled days across the CPCB record.
Stubble-burning window (Oct 15 – Nov 15)
In-window severe-day share 1.1% vs 4.9% outside the window. The difference is a direct signal of upwind crop-residue transport.
Monsoon cleansing (Jul 15 – Sep 15)
Core monsoon window averages AQI 75 (Satisfactory), compared with an annual mean of 202.
Summer
Summer (Mar–Apr–May) in Muzaffarpur averages AQI 177 across 755 measured days — Moderate on the NAQI scale. 4.8% of those days fall in Very Poor or Severe; 22.5% are Good or Satisfactory. Year-on-year, summer improved by 6% in the most recent comparison. Summer air in Muzaffarpur is shaped by a very different mix of forces. Rising temperatures drive deeper vertical mixing which dilutes local emissions, but pre-monsoon dust storms, wildfires and heat-accelerated ozone formation can all push AQI higher on individual days. Muzaffarpur's summer mean of 177 sits in the Moderate-to-Poor range, indicating that dust and gaseous precursors dominate the seasonal profile rather than the winter particulate peak common to north Indian cities.
Monsoon
Monsoon (Jun–Jul–Aug–Sep) in Muzaffarpur averages AQI 87 across 859 measured days — Satisfactory on the NAQI scale. 0.1% of those days fall in Very Poor or Severe; 77.3% are Good or Satisfactory. Year-on-year, monsoon improved by 23.4% in the most recent comparison. The Jul 15 – Sep 15 core monsoon window averages AQI 75, a 62.9% improvement on the annual mean of 202. Rain scrubs particulates out by wet deposition, and the deeper monsoon boundary layer disperses what remains vertically. Short-lived rebounds can happen between spells of rain, but the overall pattern is strongly favourable for outdoor activity. For anyone with asthma or heart conditions, monsoon is the easy-breathing stretch of the year in Muzaffarpur.
Post-monsoon
Post-monsoon (Oct–Nov) in Muzaffarpur averages AQI 244 across 527 measured days — Poor on the NAQI scale. 33% of those days fall in Very Poor or Severe; 10.8% are Good or Satisfactory. Year-on-year, post-monsoon worsened by 17.3% in the most recent comparison. Diwali and the three days either side of it average AQI 264 — 1.53× the normal October baseline of AQI 172 for Muzaffarpur, a spike of 92 points. Post-monsoon in Muzaffarpur is the handoff from clean monsoon air to the winter peak, and the transition is rarely gentle.
Month-by-month trajectories
How each month has moved across the 9-year CPCB record.
First year vs latest year
Annual and per-season comparison.
Across the 9-year CPCB record Muzaffarpur is improving overall — AQI moved from 213 in 2016 to 151 in 2024, a -29.1% change. Months that worsened most: Apr (+26.9%), May (+66.7%), Jun (+98.2%), Sep (+18.9%). Months that improved most: Jan (-37.7%), Feb (-37.3%), Mar (-32.4%), Aug (-10%). Because Muzaffarpur's seasonal shape is monsoon-cleansed, policy action that targets the January peak buys disproportionate relief — most city-wide annual averages are dragged upwards by the worst two or three months.
Daily calendar heatmap
Every measured day for the last 3 years. Expand for the full 9-year archive.
Month-by-month deep dive
Tap any month to expand.
Jan2016–2024Latest AQI 250-38%
Jan in Muzaffarpur averages AQI 250 (Poor) in the most recent year, having moved from 401 in 2016. Direction: improving (-37.7%).
Feb2016–2024Latest AQI 198-37%
Feb in Muzaffarpur averages AQI 198 (Moderate) in the most recent year, having moved from 316 in 2016. Direction: improving (-37.3%).
Mar2016–2024Latest AQI 146-32%
Mar in Muzaffarpur averages AQI 146 (Moderate) in the most recent year, having moved from 216 in 2016. Direction: improving (-32.4%).
Apr2016–2024Latest AQI 198+27%
Apr in Muzaffarpur averages AQI 198 (Moderate) in the most recent year, having moved from 156 in 2016. Direction: worsening (+26.9%).
May2016–2024Latest AQI 130+67%
May in Muzaffarpur averages AQI 130 (Moderate) in the most recent year, having moved from 78 in 2016. Direction: worsening (+66.7%).
Jun2016–2024Latest AQI 109+98%
Jun in Muzaffarpur averages AQI 109 (Moderate) in the most recent year, having moved from 55 in 2016. Direction: worsening (+98.2%).
Jul2016–2024Latest AQI 67+10%
Jul in Muzaffarpur averages AQI 67 (Satisfactory) in the most recent year, having moved from 61 in 2016. Direction: stable (+9.8%).
Aug2016–2024Latest AQI 54-10%
Aug in Muzaffarpur averages AQI 54 (Satisfactory) in the most recent year, having moved from 60 in 2016. Direction: improving (-10.0%).
Sep2016–2024Latest AQI 63+19%
Sep in Muzaffarpur averages AQI 63 (Satisfactory) in the most recent year, having moved from 53 in 2016. Direction: worsening (+18.9%).
Oct2016–2024Latest AQI 117-47%
Oct in Muzaffarpur averages AQI 117 (Moderate) in the most recent year, having moved from 222 in 2016. Direction: improving (-47.3%).
Nov2016–2024Latest AQI 237-29%
Nov in Muzaffarpur averages AQI 237 (Poor) in the most recent year, having moved from 335 in 2016. Direction: improving (-29.3%).
Dec2016–2024Latest AQI 205-45%
Dec in Muzaffarpur averages AQI 205 (Poor) in the most recent year, having moved from 372 in 2016. Direction: improving (-44.9%).
Cities with similar (and opposite) seasonal profiles
Ranked by cosine similarity of 12-month AQI signatures across monitored Indian cities.
Similar seasonal profile
Cities whose 12-month AQI signature most closely matches Muzaffarpur.
Opposite seasonal profile
Cities whose seasonal signature least resembles Muzaffarpur.
What to do with this information
If you are choosing when to visit Muzaffarpur or plan outdoor events — marathons, weddings, school sports, outdoor festivals — the CPCB record says July and the two adjacent months are the lowest-risk window. Daily variability still matters; check the live AQI page before committing on any specific date. Sensitive groups should treat January in Muzaffarpur as an indoor-air-priority month: close windows on high-AQI evenings, run a purifier with a HEPA filter rated for your room size, and reserve outdoor exercise for clear-weather mornings. On days above AQI 300, even healthy adults benefit from well-fitted N95 or KN95 masks for outdoor commutes.
Frequently asked questions
Which is the most polluted month in Muzaffarpur?
January is the most polluted month in Muzaffarpur on average, with a long-run AQI of 314 — firmly in the Very Poor band. This is drawn from 3 CPCB monitoring stations across 9 years of daily readings. Through January, residents should expect elevated PM2.5 and PM10, reduced visibility on cooler mornings, and strong recommendations from doctors to limit outdoor exertion, wear well-fitted N95 masks, and run indoor purifiers through evening and overnight hours when pollutant accumulation typically peaks.
What is the cleanest month to visit Muzaffarpur?
July is the cleanest month of the year in Muzaffarpur, averaging AQI 66 in the Satisfactory band. The months immediately before and after also tend to sit well below the annual mean of 180, so a visit window centred on July is the safest choice for outdoor sightseeing, marathons, school trips and wedding events. Mornings are usually the crispest time to head out; pollution tends to creep up slightly during the evening commute even in the cleanest months. Always cross-check the day-of live AQI before any high-exertion outdoor plan.
Why does Muzaffarpur's air spike in January?
Muzaffarpur shows a clear monsoon-cleansed signature — rain and deeper atmospheric mixing drop AQI to a seasonal trough, and everything else relative to that trough looks elevated. The specific January spike combines pre-monsoon dust, post-rain rebounds and the arrival of cool-season trapping effects.
How bad is Diwali air quality in Muzaffarpur?
Across the CPCB record, the week around Diwali in Muzaffarpur averages AQI 264 — 1.53× the normal October baseline of AQI 172, a spike of 92 AQI points. Firework particulates combine with a cooler, more stagnant late-October atmosphere to produce some of the worst air-quality days of the entire year. Sensitive groups should treat Diwali eve and the two days after as peak-alert days: stay indoors, close windows by evening, run purifiers on high, and reserve any outdoor celebrations for daytime hours when mixing is strongest.
Does the monsoon actually clean Muzaffarpur's air?
Yes — meaningfully. Muzaffarpur's core monsoon window (Jul 15 – Sep 15) averages AQI 75, a 62.9% improvement on the annual mean of 202. Rain removes airborne particulates by wet deposition, and the deeper monsoon boundary layer disperses what remains vertically. Across 859 measured monsoon days we see 77.3% in the Good-or-Satisfactory band.
Is Muzaffarpur's worst season getting worse or better year-on-year?
Between 2016 and 2024, Muzaffarpur's annual average AQI moved from 213 to 151 — a change of -29.1%. In the most recent year-on-year comparison, the winter season specifically improved by 8.9%. The long-run direction is improving — NCAP policy pressure, cleaner fuels and tighter vehicle standards are showing up.
Which months are safest to visit Muzaffarpur?
July is the single best month at AQI 66. Based on the 12-month averages, the three cleanest months in Muzaffarpur are July (AQI 66), August (AQI 68), September (AQI 72). These are the safest choices for outdoor itineraries, long walks, open-air concerts and day-trips. Sensitive groups can treat these months as near-normal activity windows but should still check live AQI for the specific date. Avoid planning outdoor-heavy trips in January, when the baseline jumps into Very Poor territory.
How does Muzaffarpur's seasonal pattern compare to other Indian cities?
Muzaffarpur is classified as monsoon-cleansed. Based on a 12-month cosine-similarity index computed across all monitored Indian cities, the city whose seasonal signature most closely resembles Muzaffarpur's is Katihar (Bihar), with its own worst month in December. Cities with similar signatures often respond to similar policy levers — if a neighbouring peer has demonstrated improvements through specific interventions (construction-dust controls, bus electrification, brick-kiln regulation), they are likely candidates for Muzaffarpur too. The peer-city panel on this page lists the closest four additional matches.