Bāghpat — Seasonal Pollution Patterns
Month-by-month air quality patterns for Bāghpat across 7 years of CPCB data. Based on CPCB station data, 2016–present.
Uttar Pradesh · Live Bāghpat AQI →
At a glance
Based on 7 years of CPCB monitoring across 2 stations, Bāghpat averages AQI 190 annually, with a pronounced seasonal pattern classified as monsoon-cleansed. The worst month is November at AQI 307 (Very Poor) and the cleanest is August at AQI 83 (Satisfactory) — a 224-point swing between them. Severe days (AQI > 400) make up 3.3% of the record while Good-or-Satisfactory days account for 26.2%.
The four seasons
Indian meteorological seasons: Winter (Dec–Feb), Summer (Mar–May), Monsoon (Jun–Sep), Post-monsoon (Oct–Nov).
Winter
AQI 252Summer
AQI 202Monsoon
AQI 105Post-monsoon
AQI 265Climograph — monthly averages and Poor+ days
Bars show the long-run AQI average per month. The overlay line counts days in Poor, Very Poor or Severe bands.
Year × month heatmap
One cell per year-month combination.
Each cell = monthly average AQI for that year-month combination. Row averages on the right, column averages at the bottom.
| Year | Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec | Avg |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2018 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 233 | 122 | 100 | 285 | 352 | 349 | 240 |
| 2019 | 312 | 228 | 180 | 237 | 252 | 218 | 128 | 94 | 92 | 234 | 295 | 307 | 213 |
| 2020 | 268 | — | — | — | — | 178 | 95 | 65 | 131 | 296 | 321 | 326 | 205 |
| 2021 | 288 | 263 | 231 | 292 | 173 | 172 | 107 | 96 | 55 | 179 | 353 | 256 | 207 |
| 2022 | 230 | — | 224 | 250 | 163 | 118 | 51 | 64 | 73 | 184 | 269 | 213 | 166 |
| 2024 | 215 | 131 | 100 | 141 | 196 | 162 | 79 | 51 | 78 | 177 | 244 | 135 | 141 |
| Avg | 261 | 205 | 181 | 228 | 198 | 170 | 97 | 83 | 90 | 226 | 307 | 268 | — |
Winter in Bāghpat
Winter (Dec–Jan–Feb) in Bāghpat averages AQI 252 across 376 measured days — Poor on the NAQI scale. 34.3% of those days fall in Very Poor or Severe; 7.4% are Good or Satisfactory. Year-on-year, winter improved by 27.8% in the most recent comparison. Winter is the defining season for Bāghpat's air quality. Shallow temperature inversions trap local vehicle, industrial and biomass emissions near ground level, while regional transport brings in additional smoke from post-monsoon biomass burning across Punjab and Haryana and dust from drier upwind regions. Cool, stagnant mornings compound the problem; visibility falls, respiratory complaints spike, and short-term pollution peaks of AQI 400+ are routine. Sensitive groups — children, elderly, asthma and cardiac patients — should treat the full Dec–Jan–Feb window as a mandatory mask-and-purifier period.
Diwali, stubble burning and the monsoon
Three India-specific signatures that shape the seasonal curve.
Diwali week impact
The 7-day window around Diwali averages AQI 298 (Poor), versus 222 (Poor) for the rest of October. 42 sampled days across the CPCB record.
Stubble-burning window (Oct 15 – Nov 15)
In-window severe-day share 17.2% vs 1.6% outside the window. The difference is a direct signal of upwind crop-residue transport.
Monsoon cleansing (Jul 15 – Sep 15)
Core monsoon window averages AQI 82 (Satisfactory), compared with an annual mean of 190.
Summer
Summer (Mar–Apr–May) in Bāghpat averages AQI 202 across 335 measured days — Poor on the NAQI scale. 12.5% of those days fall in Very Poor or Severe; 5.4% are Good or Satisfactory. Year-on-year, summer improved by 31.4% in the most recent comparison. Summer air in Bāghpat is shaped by a very different mix of forces. Rising temperatures drive deeper vertical mixing which dilutes local emissions, but pre-monsoon dust storms, wildfires and heat-accelerated ozone formation can all push AQI higher on individual days. Bāghpat's summer mean of 202 sits in the Moderate-to-Poor range, indicating that dust and gaseous precursors dominate the seasonal profile rather than the winter particulate peak common to north Indian cities.
Monsoon
Monsoon (Jun–Jul–Aug–Sep) in Bāghpat averages AQI 105 across 618 measured days — Moderate on the NAQI scale. 1.9% of those days fall in Very Poor or Severe; 61.2% are Good or Satisfactory. Year-on-year, monsoon worsened by 20.4% in the most recent comparison. The Jul 15 – Sep 15 core monsoon window averages AQI 82, a 56.8% improvement on the annual mean of 190. Rain scrubs particulates out by wet deposition, and the deeper monsoon boundary layer disperses what remains vertically. Short-lived rebounds can happen between spells of rain, but the overall pattern is strongly favourable for outdoor activity. Even in monsoon, Bāghpat's baseline sits in the Moderate band, pointing to persistent year-round sources that rain alone cannot rinse away.
Post-monsoon
Post-monsoon (Oct–Nov) in Bāghpat averages AQI 265 across 343 measured days — Poor on the NAQI scale. 37.6% of those days fall in Very Poor or Severe; 4.4% are Good or Satisfactory. Year-on-year, post-monsoon improved by 7.5% in the most recent comparison. Diwali and the three days either side of it average AQI 298 — 1.34× the normal October baseline of AQI 222 for Bāghpat, a spike of 76 points. The Oct 15 – Nov 15 stubble-burning window averages AQI 301, with 17.2% of days landing in the Severe band versus only 1.6% outside that window. Post-monsoon in Bāghpat is the handoff from clean monsoon air to the winter peak, and the transition is rarely gentle.
Month-by-month trajectories
How each month has moved across the 7-year CPCB record.
First year vs latest year
Annual and per-season comparison.
Across the 7-year CPCB record Bāghpat is improving overall — AQI moved from 240 in 2018 to 141 in 2024, a -41.2% change. No month shows a material worsening of 10% or more. Months that improved most: Jan (-31.1%), Mar (-44.4%), Apr (-40.5%), May (-22.2%). Because Bāghpat's seasonal shape is monsoon-cleansed, policy action that targets the November peak buys disproportionate relief — most city-wide annual averages are dragged upwards by the worst two or three months.
Daily calendar heatmap
Every measured day for the last 3 years. Expand for the full 7-year archive.
Month-by-month deep dive
Tap any month to expand.
Jan2019–2024Latest AQI 215-31%
Jan in Bāghpat averages AQI 215 (Poor) in the most recent year, having moved from 312 in 2019. Direction: improving (-31.1%).
Feb2019–2024Latest AQI 131-43%
Feb in Bāghpat averages AQI 131 (Moderate) in the most recent year, having moved from 228 in 2019. Direction: improving (-42.5%).
Mar2019–2024Latest AQI 100-44%
Mar in Bāghpat averages AQI 100 (Satisfactory) in the most recent year, having moved from 180 in 2019. Direction: improving (-44.4%).
Apr2019–2024Latest AQI 141-41%
Apr in Bāghpat averages AQI 141 (Moderate) in the most recent year, having moved from 237 in 2019. Direction: improving (-40.5%).
May2019–2024Latest AQI 196-22%
May in Bāghpat averages AQI 196 (Moderate) in the most recent year, having moved from 252 in 2019. Direction: improving (-22.2%).
Jun2019–2024Latest AQI 162-26%
Jun in Bāghpat averages AQI 162 (Moderate) in the most recent year, having moved from 218 in 2019. Direction: improving (-25.7%).
Jul2018–2024Latest AQI 79-66%
Jul in Bāghpat averages AQI 79 (Satisfactory) in the most recent year, having moved from 233 in 2018. Direction: improving (-66.1%).
Aug2018–2024Latest AQI 51-58%
Aug in Bāghpat averages AQI 51 (Satisfactory) in the most recent year, having moved from 122 in 2018. Direction: improving (-58.2%).
Sep2018–2024Latest AQI 78-22%
Sep in Bāghpat averages AQI 78 (Satisfactory) in the most recent year, having moved from 100 in 2018. Direction: improving (-22.0%).
Oct2018–2024Latest AQI 177-38%
Oct in Bāghpat averages AQI 177 (Moderate) in the most recent year, having moved from 285 in 2018. Direction: improving (-37.9%).
Nov2018–2024Latest AQI 244-31%
Nov in Bāghpat averages AQI 244 (Poor) in the most recent year, having moved from 352 in 2018. Direction: improving (-30.7%).
Dec2018–2024Latest AQI 135-61%
Dec in Bāghpat averages AQI 135 (Moderate) in the most recent year, having moved from 349 in 2018. Direction: improving (-61.3%).
Cities with similar (and opposite) seasonal profiles
Ranked by cosine similarity of 12-month AQI signatures across monitored Indian cities.
Similar seasonal profile
Cities whose 12-month AQI signature most closely matches Bāghpat.
Opposite seasonal profile
Cities whose seasonal signature least resembles Bāghpat.
What to do with this information
If you are choosing when to visit Bāghpat or plan outdoor events — marathons, weddings, school sports, outdoor festivals — the CPCB record says August and the two adjacent months are the lowest-risk window. Daily variability still matters; check the live AQI page before committing on any specific date. Sensitive groups should treat November in Bāghpat as an indoor-air-priority month: close windows on high-AQI evenings, run a purifier with a HEPA filter rated for your room size, and reserve outdoor exercise for clear-weather mornings. On days above AQI 300, even healthy adults benefit from well-fitted N95 or KN95 masks for outdoor commutes.
Frequently asked questions
Which is the most polluted month in Bāghpat?
November is the most polluted month in Bāghpat on average, with a long-run AQI of 307 — firmly in the Very Poor band. This is drawn from 2 CPCB monitoring stations across 7 years of daily readings. Through November, residents should expect elevated PM2.5 and PM10, reduced visibility on cooler mornings, and strong recommendations from doctors to limit outdoor exertion, wear well-fitted N95 masks, and run indoor purifiers through evening and overnight hours when pollutant accumulation typically peaks.
What is the cleanest month to visit Bāghpat?
August is the cleanest month of the year in Bāghpat, averaging AQI 83 in the Satisfactory band. The months immediately before and after also tend to sit well below the annual mean of 190, so a visit window centred on August is the safest choice for outdoor sightseeing, marathons, school trips and wedding events. Mornings are usually the crispest time to head out; pollution tends to creep up slightly during the evening commute even in the cleanest months. Always cross-check the day-of live AQI before any high-exertion outdoor plan.
Why does Bāghpat's air spike in November?
Bāghpat shows a clear monsoon-cleansed signature — rain and deeper atmospheric mixing drop AQI to a seasonal trough, and everything else relative to that trough looks elevated. The specific November spike combines pre-monsoon dust, post-rain rebounds and the arrival of cool-season trapping effects.
How bad is Diwali air quality in Bāghpat?
Across the CPCB record, the week around Diwali in Bāghpat averages AQI 298 — 1.34× the normal October baseline of AQI 222, a spike of 76 AQI points. Firework particulates combine with a cooler, more stagnant late-October atmosphere to produce some of the worst air-quality days of the entire year. Sensitive groups should treat Diwali eve and the two days after as peak-alert days: stay indoors, close windows by evening, run purifiers on high, and reserve any outdoor celebrations for daytime hours when mixing is strongest.
Does the monsoon actually clean Bāghpat's air?
Yes — meaningfully. Bāghpat's core monsoon window (Jul 15 – Sep 15) averages AQI 82, a 56.8% improvement on the annual mean of 190. Rain removes airborne particulates by wet deposition, and the deeper monsoon boundary layer disperses what remains vertically. Across 618 measured monsoon days we see 61.2% in the Good-or-Satisfactory band.
Is Bāghpat's worst season getting worse or better year-on-year?
Between 2018 and 2024, Bāghpat's annual average AQI moved from 240 to 141 — a change of -41.2%. In the most recent year-on-year comparison, the winter season specifically improved by 27.8%. The long-run direction is improving — NCAP policy pressure, cleaner fuels and tighter vehicle standards are showing up.
Which months are safest to visit Bāghpat?
August is the single best month at AQI 83. Based on the 12-month averages, the three cleanest months in Bāghpat are August (AQI 83), September (AQI 90), July (AQI 97). These are the safest choices for outdoor itineraries, long walks, open-air concerts and day-trips. Sensitive groups can treat these months as near-normal activity windows but should still check live AQI for the specific date. Avoid planning outdoor-heavy trips in November, when the baseline jumps into Very Poor territory.
How does Bāghpat's seasonal pattern compare to other Indian cities?
Bāghpat is classified as monsoon-cleansed. Based on a 12-month cosine-similarity index computed across all monitored Indian cities, the city whose seasonal signature most closely resembles Bāghpat's is Charkhi Dādri (Haryana), with its own worst month in November. Cities with similar signatures often respond to similar policy levers — if a neighbouring peer has demonstrated improvements through specific interventions (construction-dust controls, bus electrification, brick-kiln regulation), they are likely candidates for Bāghpat too. The peer-city panel on this page lists the closest four additional matches.