Muzaffarnagar — Seasonal Pollution Patterns
Month-by-month air quality patterns for Muzaffarnagar across 7 years of CPCB data. Based on CPCB station data, 2016–present.
Uttar Pradesh · Live Muzaffarnagar AQI →
At a glance
Based on 7 years of CPCB monitoring across 1 stations, Muzaffarnagar averages AQI 183 annually, with a pronounced seasonal pattern classified as monsoon-cleansed. The worst month is December at AQI 276 (Poor) and the cleanest is August at AQI 83 (Satisfactory) — a 193-point swing between them. Severe days (AQI > 400) make up 1.1% of the record while Good-or-Satisfactory days account for 24.8%.
The four seasons
Indian meteorological seasons: Winter (Dec–Feb), Summer (Mar–May), Monsoon (Jun–Sep), Post-monsoon (Oct–Nov).
Winter
AQI 253Summer
AQI 182Monsoon
AQI 107Post-monsoon
AQI 246Climograph — monthly averages and Poor+ days
Bars show the long-run AQI average per month. The overlay line counts days in Poor, Very Poor or Severe bands.
Year × month heatmap
One cell per year-month combination.
Each cell = monthly average AQI for that year-month combination. Row averages on the right, column averages at the bottom.
| Year | Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec | Avg |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2018 | — | — | — | — | — | 129 | 117 | 97 | 110 | 251 | 325 | 357 | 219 |
| 2019 | 304 | 202 | 175 | 211 | 215 | 159 | 98 | 69 | 77 | 240 | — | — | 185 |
| 2020 | 234 | 202 | 115 | 114 | 139 | 116 | 77 | 63 | 119 | 262 | 267 | 282 | 159 |
| 2021 | 231 | 215 | 203 | 177 | 148 | 129 | 114 | 105 | 84 | 172 | 305 | 289 | 178 |
| 2022 | 245 | 240 | 232 | 273 | 204 | 211 | 77 | 79 | 96 | 185 | 248 | 282 | 196 |
| 2023 | 250 | 212 | 175 | 174 | 167 | 116 | 73 | 100 | 105 | 227 | 248 | 300 | 184 |
| 2024 | 277 | 227 | 177 | 175 | 221 | 187 | 104 | 69 | 91 | 206 | 251 | 151 | 179 |
| Avg | 261 | 217 | 180 | 184 | 182 | 153 | 96 | 83 | 97 | 220 | 275 | 276 | — |
Winter in Muzaffarnagar
Winter (Dec–Jan–Feb) in Muzaffarnagar averages AQI 253 across 468 measured days — Poor on the NAQI scale. 33.3% of those days fall in Very Poor or Severe; 5.8% are Good or Satisfactory. Year-on-year, winter improved by 14% in the most recent comparison. Winter is the defining season for Muzaffarnagar's air quality. Shallow temperature inversions trap local vehicle, industrial and biomass emissions near ground level, while regional transport brings in additional smoke from post-monsoon biomass burning across Punjab and Haryana and dust from drier upwind regions. Cool, stagnant mornings compound the problem; visibility falls, respiratory complaints spike, and short-term pollution peaks of AQI 400+ are routine. Sensitive groups — children, elderly, asthma and cardiac patients — should treat the full Dec–Jan–Feb window as a mandatory mask-and-purifier period.
Diwali, stubble burning and the monsoon
Three India-specific signatures that shape the seasonal curve.
Diwali week impact
The 7-day window around Diwali averages AQI 268 (Poor), versus 215 (Poor) for the rest of October. 49 sampled days across the CPCB record.
Stubble-burning window (Oct 15 – Nov 15)
In-window severe-day share 4.5% vs 0.7% outside the window. The difference is a direct signal of upwind crop-residue transport.
Monsoon cleansing (Jul 15 – Sep 15)
Core monsoon window averages AQI 84 (Satisfactory), compared with an annual mean of 183.
Summer
Summer (Mar–Apr–May) in Muzaffarnagar averages AQI 182 across 506 measured days — Moderate on the NAQI scale. 4.3% of those days fall in Very Poor or Severe; 9.5% are Good or Satisfactory. Year-on-year, summer worsened by 11.3% in the most recent comparison. Summer air in Muzaffarnagar is shaped by a very different mix of forces. Rising temperatures drive deeper vertical mixing which dilutes local emissions, but pre-monsoon dust storms, wildfires and heat-accelerated ozone formation can all push AQI higher on individual days. Muzaffarnagar's summer mean of 182 sits in the Moderate-to-Poor range, indicating that dust and gaseous precursors dominate the seasonal profile rather than the winter particulate peak common to north Indian cities.
Monsoon
Monsoon (Jun–Jul–Aug–Sep) in Muzaffarnagar averages AQI 107 across 726 measured days — Moderate on the NAQI scale. 1.1% of those days fall in Very Poor or Severe; 58.1% are Good or Satisfactory. Year-on-year, monsoon worsened by 12.2% in the most recent comparison. The Jul 15 – Sep 15 core monsoon window averages AQI 84, a 54.1% improvement on the annual mean of 183. Rain scrubs particulates out by wet deposition, and the deeper monsoon boundary layer disperses what remains vertically. Short-lived rebounds can happen between spells of rain, but the overall pattern is strongly favourable for outdoor activity. Even in monsoon, Muzaffarnagar's baseline sits in the Moderate band, pointing to persistent year-round sources that rain alone cannot rinse away.
Post-monsoon
Post-monsoon (Oct–Nov) in Muzaffarnagar averages AQI 246 across 374 measured days — Poor on the NAQI scale. 24.3% of those days fall in Very Poor or Severe; 4.8% are Good or Satisfactory. Year-on-year, post-monsoon improved by 5.1% in the most recent comparison. Diwali and the three days either side of it average AQI 268 — 1.25× the normal October baseline of AQI 215 for Muzaffarnagar, a spike of 53 points. The Oct 15 – Nov 15 stubble-burning window averages AQI 268, with 4.5% of days landing in the Severe band versus only 0.7% outside that window. Post-monsoon in Muzaffarnagar is the handoff from clean monsoon air to the winter peak, and the transition is rarely gentle.
Month-by-month trajectories
How each month has moved across the 7-year CPCB record.
First year vs latest year
Annual and per-season comparison.
Across the 7-year CPCB record Muzaffarnagar is improving overall — AQI moved from 219 in 2018 to 179 in 2024, a -18.3% change. Months that worsened most: Feb (+12.4%), Jun (+45%). Months that improved most: Apr (-17.1%), Jul (-11.1%), Aug (-28.9%), Sep (-17.3%). Because Muzaffarnagar's seasonal shape is monsoon-cleansed, policy action that targets the December peak buys disproportionate relief — most city-wide annual averages are dragged upwards by the worst two or three months.
Daily calendar heatmap
Every measured day for the last 3 years. Expand for the full 7-year archive.
Month-by-month deep dive
Tap any month to expand.
Jan2019–2024Latest AQI 277-9%
Jan in Muzaffarnagar averages AQI 277 (Poor) in the most recent year, having moved from 304 in 2019. Direction: stable (-8.9%).
Feb2019–2024Latest AQI 227+12%
Feb in Muzaffarnagar averages AQI 227 (Poor) in the most recent year, having moved from 202 in 2019. Direction: worsening (+12.4%).
Mar2019–2024Latest AQI 177+1%
Mar in Muzaffarnagar averages AQI 177 (Moderate) in the most recent year, having moved from 175 in 2019. Direction: stable (+1.1%).
Apr2019–2024Latest AQI 175-17%
Apr in Muzaffarnagar averages AQI 175 (Moderate) in the most recent year, having moved from 211 in 2019. Direction: improving (-17.1%).
May2019–2024Latest AQI 221+3%
May in Muzaffarnagar averages AQI 221 (Poor) in the most recent year, having moved from 215 in 2019. Direction: stable (+2.8%).
Jun2018–2024Latest AQI 187+45%
Jun in Muzaffarnagar averages AQI 187 (Moderate) in the most recent year, having moved from 129 in 2018. Direction: worsening (+45.0%).
Jul2018–2024Latest AQI 104-11%
Jul in Muzaffarnagar averages AQI 104 (Moderate) in the most recent year, having moved from 117 in 2018. Direction: improving (-11.1%).
Aug2018–2024Latest AQI 69-29%
Aug in Muzaffarnagar averages AQI 69 (Satisfactory) in the most recent year, having moved from 97 in 2018. Direction: improving (-28.9%).
Sep2018–2024Latest AQI 91-17%
Sep in Muzaffarnagar averages AQI 91 (Satisfactory) in the most recent year, having moved from 110 in 2018. Direction: improving (-17.3%).
Oct2018–2024Latest AQI 206-18%
Oct in Muzaffarnagar averages AQI 206 (Poor) in the most recent year, having moved from 251 in 2018. Direction: improving (-17.9%).
Nov2018–2024Latest AQI 251-23%
Nov in Muzaffarnagar averages AQI 251 (Poor) in the most recent year, having moved from 325 in 2018. Direction: improving (-22.8%).
Dec2018–2024Latest AQI 151-58%
Dec in Muzaffarnagar averages AQI 151 (Moderate) in the most recent year, having moved from 357 in 2018. Direction: improving (-57.7%).
Cities with similar (and opposite) seasonal profiles
Ranked by cosine similarity of 12-month AQI signatures across monitored Indian cities.
Similar seasonal profile
Cities whose 12-month AQI signature most closely matches Muzaffarnagar.
Opposite seasonal profile
Cities whose seasonal signature least resembles Muzaffarnagar.
What to do with this information
If you are choosing when to visit Muzaffarnagar or plan outdoor events — marathons, weddings, school sports, outdoor festivals — the CPCB record says August and the two adjacent months are the lowest-risk window. Daily variability still matters; check the live AQI page before committing on any specific date. Sensitive groups should treat December in Muzaffarnagar as an indoor-air-priority month: close windows on high-AQI evenings, run a purifier with a HEPA filter rated for your room size, and reserve outdoor exercise for clear-weather mornings. On days above AQI 300, even healthy adults benefit from well-fitted N95 or KN95 masks for outdoor commutes.
Frequently asked questions
Which is the most polluted month in Muzaffarnagar?
December is the most polluted month in Muzaffarnagar on average, with a long-run AQI of 276 — firmly in the Poor band. This is drawn from 1 CPCB monitoring stations across 7 years of daily readings. Through December, residents should expect elevated PM2.5 and PM10, reduced visibility on cooler mornings, and strong recommendations from doctors to limit outdoor exertion, wear well-fitted N95 masks, and run indoor purifiers through evening and overnight hours when pollutant accumulation typically peaks.
What is the cleanest month to visit Muzaffarnagar?
August is the cleanest month of the year in Muzaffarnagar, averaging AQI 83 in the Satisfactory band. The months immediately before and after also tend to sit well below the annual mean of 183, so a visit window centred on August is the safest choice for outdoor sightseeing, marathons, school trips and wedding events. Mornings are usually the crispest time to head out; pollution tends to creep up slightly during the evening commute even in the cleanest months. Always cross-check the day-of live AQI before any high-exertion outdoor plan.
Why does Muzaffarnagar's air spike in December?
Muzaffarnagar shows a clear monsoon-cleansed signature — rain and deeper atmospheric mixing drop AQI to a seasonal trough, and everything else relative to that trough looks elevated. The specific December spike combines pre-monsoon dust, post-rain rebounds and the arrival of cool-season trapping effects.
How bad is Diwali air quality in Muzaffarnagar?
Across the CPCB record, the week around Diwali in Muzaffarnagar averages AQI 268 — 1.25× the normal October baseline of AQI 215, a spike of 53 AQI points. Firework particulates combine with a cooler, more stagnant late-October atmosphere to produce some of the worst air-quality days of the entire year. Sensitive groups should treat Diwali eve and the two days after as peak-alert days: stay indoors, close windows by evening, run purifiers on high, and reserve any outdoor celebrations for daytime hours when mixing is strongest.
Does the monsoon actually clean Muzaffarnagar's air?
Yes — meaningfully. Muzaffarnagar's core monsoon window (Jul 15 – Sep 15) averages AQI 84, a 54.1% improvement on the annual mean of 183. Rain removes airborne particulates by wet deposition, and the deeper monsoon boundary layer disperses what remains vertically. Across 726 measured monsoon days we see 58.1% in the Good-or-Satisfactory band.
Is Muzaffarnagar's worst season getting worse or better year-on-year?
Between 2018 and 2024, Muzaffarnagar's annual average AQI moved from 219 to 179 — a change of -18.3%. In the most recent year-on-year comparison, the winter season specifically improved by 14%. The long-run direction is improving — NCAP policy pressure, cleaner fuels and tighter vehicle standards are showing up.
Which months are safest to visit Muzaffarnagar?
August is the single best month at AQI 83. Based on the 12-month averages, the three cleanest months in Muzaffarnagar are August (AQI 83), July (AQI 96), September (AQI 96). These are the safest choices for outdoor itineraries, long walks, open-air concerts and day-trips. Sensitive groups can treat these months as near-normal activity windows but should still check live AQI for the specific date. Avoid planning outdoor-heavy trips in December, when the baseline jumps into Poor territory.
How does Muzaffarnagar's seasonal pattern compare to other Indian cities?
Muzaffarnagar is classified as monsoon-cleansed. Based on a 12-month cosine-similarity index computed across all monitored Indian cities, the city whose seasonal signature most closely resembles Muzaffarnagar's is Ghaziabad (Uttar Pradesh), with its own worst month in November. Cities with similar signatures often respond to similar policy levers — if a neighbouring peer has demonstrated improvements through specific interventions (construction-dust controls, bus electrification, brick-kiln regulation), they are likely candidates for Muzaffarnagar too. The peer-city panel on this page lists the closest four additional matches.