Gwalior — Seasonal Pollution Patterns
Month-by-month air quality patterns for Gwalior across 5 years of CPCB data. Based on CPCB station data, 2016–present.
Madhya Pradesh · Live Gwalior AQI →
At a glance
Based on 5 years of CPCB monitoring across 4 stations, Gwalior averages AQI 143 annually, with a pronounced seasonal pattern classified as monsoon-cleansed. The worst month is November at AQI 231 (Poor) and the cleanest is August at AQI 58 (Satisfactory) — a 173-point swing between them. Severe days (AQI > 400) make up 0.4% of the record while Good-or-Satisfactory days account for 31.5%.
The four seasons
Indian meteorological seasons: Winter (Dec–Feb), Summer (Mar–May), Monsoon (Jun–Sep), Post-monsoon (Oct–Nov).
Winter
AQI 234Summer
AQI 144Monsoon
AQI 80Post-monsoon
AQI 207Climograph — monthly averages and Poor+ days
Bars show the long-run AQI average per month. The overlay line counts days in Poor, Very Poor or Severe bands.
Year × month heatmap
One cell per year-month combination.
Each cell = monthly average AQI for that year-month combination. Row averages on the right, column averages at the bottom.
| Year | Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec | Avg |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | 205 | 217 | 112 | 97 | 146 | 113 | 67 | 35 | 75 | 199 | 270 | 266 | 147 |
| 2021 | 275 | 193 | 147 | 136 | 98 | 97 | 62 | 67 | 52 | 104 | 196 | 197 | 131 |
| 2022 | 208 | 150 | 141 | 136 | 161 | 119 | 53 | 54 | 58 | 148 | 254 | 287 | 172 |
| 2024 | 209 | 163 | 142 | 123 | 155 | 117 | 68 | 62 | 69 | 133 | 221 | 185 | 136 |
| Avg | 218 | 179 | 134 | 119 | 146 | 114 | 65 | 58 | 64 | 140 | 231 | 231 | — |
Winter in Gwalior
Winter (Dec–Jan–Feb) in Gwalior averages AQI 234 across 333 measured days — Poor on the NAQI scale. 21.9% of those days fall in Very Poor or Severe; 1.8% are Good or Satisfactory. Year-on-year, winter improved by 2.3% in the most recent comparison. Winter is the defining season for Gwalior's air quality. Shallow temperature inversions trap local vehicle, industrial and biomass emissions near ground level, while regional transport patterns bring in dust and biomass smoke from upwind regions. Cool, stagnant mornings compound the problem; visibility falls, respiratory complaints spike, and short-term pollution peaks of AQI 400+ are routine. Sensitive groups — children, elderly, asthma and cardiac patients — should treat the full Dec–Jan–Feb window as a mandatory mask-and-purifier period.
Diwali, stubble burning and the monsoon
Three India-specific signatures that shape the seasonal curve.
Diwali week impact
The 7-day window around Diwali averages AQI 230 (Poor), versus 154 (Moderate) for the rest of October. 28 sampled days across the CPCB record.
Stubble-burning window (Oct 15 – Nov 15)
In-window severe-day share 2.4% vs 0.2% outside the window. The difference is a direct signal of upwind crop-residue transport.
Monsoon cleansing (Jul 15 – Sep 15)
Core monsoon window averages AQI 65 (Satisfactory), compared with an annual mean of 155.
Summer
Summer (Mar–Apr–May) in Gwalior averages AQI 144 across 354 measured days — Moderate on the NAQI scale. 0% of those days fall in Very Poor or Severe; 13.3% are Good or Satisfactory. Year-on-year, summer worsened by 16.4% in the most recent comparison. Summer air in Gwalior is shaped by a very different mix of forces. Rising temperatures drive deeper vertical mixing which dilutes local emissions, but pre-monsoon dust storms, wildfires and heat-accelerated ozone formation can all push AQI higher on individual days. Gwalior's summer mean of 144 is the lighter side of the year for outdoor activity, though hot afternoons can still irritate sensitive airways.
Monsoon
Monsoon (Jun–Jul–Aug–Sep) in Gwalior averages AQI 80 across 468 measured days — Satisfactory on the NAQI scale. 0% of those days fall in Very Poor or Severe; 78.4% are Good or Satisfactory. Year-on-year, monsoon worsened by 30% in the most recent comparison. The Jul 15 – Sep 15 core monsoon window averages AQI 65, a 58.1% improvement on the annual mean of 155. Rain scrubs particulates out by wet deposition, and the deeper monsoon boundary layer disperses what remains vertically. Short-lived rebounds can happen between spells of rain, but the overall pattern is strongly favourable for outdoor activity. For anyone with asthma or heart conditions, monsoon is the easy-breathing stretch of the year in Gwalior.
Post-monsoon
Post-monsoon (Oct–Nov) in Gwalior averages AQI 207 across 242 measured days — Poor on the NAQI scale. 17.4% of those days fall in Very Poor or Severe; 8.3% are Good or Satisfactory. Year-on-year, post-monsoon worsened by 0.7% in the most recent comparison. Diwali and the three days either side of it average AQI 230 — 1.5× the normal October baseline of AQI 154 for Gwalior, a spike of 77 points. Post-monsoon in Gwalior is the handoff from clean monsoon air to the winter peak, and the transition is rarely gentle.
Month-by-month trajectories
How each month has moved across the 5-year CPCB record.
First year vs latest year
Annual and per-season comparison.
Across the 5-year CPCB record Gwalior is improving overall — AQI moved from 148 in 2020 to 136 in 2024, a -8.1% change. Months that worsened most: Mar (+26.8%), Apr (+26.8%), Aug (+77.1%). Months that improved most: Feb (-24.9%), Oct (-33.2%), Nov (-18.1%), Dec (-30.5%). Because Gwalior's seasonal shape is monsoon-cleansed, policy action that targets the November peak buys disproportionate relief — most city-wide annual averages are dragged upwards by the worst two or three months.
Daily calendar heatmap
Every measured day for the last 3 years. Expand for the full 5-year archive.
Month-by-month deep dive
Tap any month to expand.
Jan2020–2024Latest AQI 209+2%
Jan in Gwalior averages AQI 209 (Poor) in the most recent year, having moved from 205 in 2020. Direction: stable (+2.0%).
Feb2020–2024Latest AQI 163-25%
Feb in Gwalior averages AQI 163 (Moderate) in the most recent year, having moved from 217 in 2020. Direction: improving (-24.9%).
Mar2020–2024Latest AQI 142+27%
Mar in Gwalior averages AQI 142 (Moderate) in the most recent year, having moved from 112 in 2020. Direction: worsening (+26.8%).
Apr2020–2024Latest AQI 123+27%
Apr in Gwalior averages AQI 123 (Moderate) in the most recent year, having moved from 97 in 2020. Direction: worsening (+26.8%).
May2020–2024Latest AQI 155+6%
May in Gwalior averages AQI 155 (Moderate) in the most recent year, having moved from 146 in 2020. Direction: stable (+6.2%).
Jun2020–2024Latest AQI 117+4%
Jun in Gwalior averages AQI 117 (Moderate) in the most recent year, having moved from 113 in 2020. Direction: stable (+3.5%).
Jul2020–2024Latest AQI 68+2%
Jul in Gwalior averages AQI 68 (Satisfactory) in the most recent year, having moved from 67 in 2020. Direction: stable (+1.5%).
Aug2020–2024Latest AQI 62+77%
Aug in Gwalior averages AQI 62 (Satisfactory) in the most recent year, having moved from 35 in 2020. Direction: worsening (+77.1%).
Sep2020–2024Latest AQI 69-8%
Sep in Gwalior averages AQI 69 (Satisfactory) in the most recent year, having moved from 75 in 2020. Direction: stable (-8.0%).
Oct2020–2024Latest AQI 133-33%
Oct in Gwalior averages AQI 133 (Moderate) in the most recent year, having moved from 199 in 2020. Direction: improving (-33.2%).
Nov2020–2024Latest AQI 221-18%
Nov in Gwalior averages AQI 221 (Poor) in the most recent year, having moved from 270 in 2020. Direction: improving (-18.1%).
Dec2020–2024Latest AQI 185-31%
Dec in Gwalior averages AQI 185 (Moderate) in the most recent year, having moved from 266 in 2020. Direction: improving (-30.5%).
Cities with similar (and opposite) seasonal profiles
Ranked by cosine similarity of 12-month AQI signatures across monitored Indian cities.
Similar seasonal profile
Cities whose 12-month AQI signature most closely matches Gwalior.
Opposite seasonal profile
Cities whose seasonal signature least resembles Gwalior.
What to do with this information
If you are choosing when to visit Gwalior or plan outdoor events — marathons, weddings, school sports, outdoor festivals — the CPCB record says August and the two adjacent months are the lowest-risk window. Daily variability still matters; check the live AQI page before committing on any specific date. Sensitive groups should treat November in Gwalior as an indoor-air-priority month: close windows on high-AQI evenings, run a purifier with a HEPA filter rated for your room size, and reserve outdoor exercise for clear-weather mornings. On days above AQI 300, even healthy adults benefit from well-fitted N95 or KN95 masks for outdoor commutes.
Frequently asked questions
Which is the most polluted month in Gwalior?
November is the most polluted month in Gwalior on average, with a long-run AQI of 231 — firmly in the Poor band. This is drawn from 4 CPCB monitoring stations across 5 years of daily readings. Through November, residents should expect elevated PM2.5 and PM10, reduced visibility on cooler mornings, and strong recommendations from doctors to limit outdoor exertion, wear well-fitted N95 masks, and run indoor purifiers through evening and overnight hours when pollutant accumulation typically peaks.
What is the cleanest month to visit Gwalior?
August is the cleanest month of the year in Gwalior, averaging AQI 58 in the Satisfactory band. The months immediately before and after also tend to sit well below the annual mean of 143, so a visit window centred on August is the safest choice for outdoor sightseeing, marathons, school trips and wedding events. Mornings are usually the crispest time to head out; pollution tends to creep up slightly during the evening commute even in the cleanest months. Always cross-check the day-of live AQI before any high-exertion outdoor plan.
Why does Gwalior's air spike in November?
Gwalior shows a clear monsoon-cleansed signature — rain and deeper atmospheric mixing drop AQI to a seasonal trough, and everything else relative to that trough looks elevated. The specific November spike combines pre-monsoon dust, post-rain rebounds and the arrival of cool-season trapping effects.
How bad is Diwali air quality in Gwalior?
Across the CPCB record, the week around Diwali in Gwalior averages AQI 230 — 1.5× the normal October baseline of AQI 154, a spike of 77 AQI points. Firework particulates combine with a cooler, more stagnant late-October atmosphere to produce some of the worst air-quality days of the entire year. Sensitive groups should treat Diwali eve and the two days after as peak-alert days: stay indoors, close windows by evening, run purifiers on high, and reserve any outdoor celebrations for daytime hours when mixing is strongest.
Does the monsoon actually clean Gwalior's air?
Yes — meaningfully. Gwalior's core monsoon window (Jul 15 – Sep 15) averages AQI 65, a 58.1% improvement on the annual mean of 155. Rain removes airborne particulates by wet deposition, and the deeper monsoon boundary layer disperses what remains vertically. Across 468 measured monsoon days we see 78.4% in the Good-or-Satisfactory band.
Is Gwalior's worst season getting worse or better year-on-year?
Between 2020 and 2024, Gwalior's annual average AQI moved from 148 to 136 — a change of -8.1%. In the most recent year-on-year comparison, the winter season specifically improved by 2.3%. The long-run direction is improving — NCAP policy pressure, cleaner fuels and tighter vehicle standards are showing up.
Which months are safest to visit Gwalior?
August is the single best month at AQI 58. Based on the 12-month averages, the three cleanest months in Gwalior are August (AQI 58), September (AQI 64), July (AQI 65). These are the safest choices for outdoor itineraries, long walks, open-air concerts and day-trips. Sensitive groups can treat these months as near-normal activity windows but should still check live AQI for the specific date. Avoid planning outdoor-heavy trips in November, when the baseline jumps into Poor territory.
How does Gwalior's seasonal pattern compare to other Indian cities?
Gwalior is classified as monsoon-cleansed. Based on a 12-month cosine-similarity index computed across all monitored Indian cities, the city whose seasonal signature most closely resembles Gwalior's is Delhi (Delhi), with its own worst month in November. Cities with similar signatures often respond to similar policy levers — if a neighbouring peer has demonstrated improvements through specific interventions (construction-dust controls, bus electrification, brick-kiln regulation), they are likely candidates for Gwalior too. The peer-city panel on this page lists the closest four additional matches.